Tsunamigenic earthquake threat

Based on data for return periods and other characteristics of tsunamigenic earthquakes, the next strong submarine earthquake and tsunami is forecast to occur between 19 and 28º S in the vicinity of northern Chile.

Maximum tsunami wave heights are estimated at 13 m for a 50 year return period and 25 m for a 100 year return period.

¹ Kulikkov, E, Rabinovich, A & Thomson, R. 2005. Estimation of Tsunami Risk for the Coasts of Peru and Northern Chile. Natural Hazards. Vol. 35, pp 185-209